Ngokusho kwabezindaba zangaphandle magneticsmag - Adamas Intelligence, umbiko wakamuva wonyaka "2040 Rare Earth Magnet Market Outlook" ukhululiwe. Lo mbiko uhlola ngokujulile nangokujulile imakethe yomhlaba wonke yomazibuthe be-neodymium iron boron abangapheli kanye nezinto zabo zomhlaba eziyivelakancane.
Ngemuva kokwanda kwesidingo esingaba khona ngo-2021, isidingo esithile esicindezelwe sonyaka odlule sifezekile. Ngokusho kwe-Adamas Intelligence, ukusetshenziswa komhlaba wonke kwamagnetic be-iron boron ye-neodymium ngo-2022 kukhuphuke ngo-1.9% kuphela unyaka nonyaka ngenxa yezimo zezomnotho zomhlaba kanye nezinselelo ezihlobene nobhubhane lwesifunda.
Noma kunjalo, abahlaziyi babo babikezela ukuthi isidingo somhlaba wonke sikamagnethi we-iron boron we-neodymium sizokhula ngesilinganiso sokukhula saminyaka yonke esingu-7.5% kusukela ngo-2023 kuya ku-2040, siqhutshwa ukukhula kwamadijithi amabili embonini yezimoto zikagesi kanye namandla omoya, okuzohumushela ekukhuleni kwesidingo. ngokhiyeizakhi zomhlaba ezingavamileequkethwe kuzibuthe njenge-neodymium, i-dysprosium, ne-terbium.
Ngaso leso sikhathi, babikezela ukuthi ukukhiqizwa kwalezi zakhi emhlabeni wonke kuzokhula ngesilinganiso sokukhula esihamba kancane sonyaka esingu-5.2%, njengoba uhlangothi lwemakethe luba nzima kakhulu ukuhambisana nesidingo esikhula ngokushesha.
Imiphumela yocwaningo imi kanje:
Imakethe ye-magnetic rare earth oxides izokhula ngokuphindwe kahlanu ngo-2040: Ukusetshenziswa okuphelele kwamandla kazibutheama-oxide omhlaba angavamilekulindeleke ukuthi ikhule ngezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lonyaka lika-5.2% (izinga lokukhula kwesidingo lika-7.0%), futhi amanani kulindeleke ukuthi akhule ngezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lonyaka lika-3.3% kuya ku-5.2%. I-Adams Intelligence ibikezela ukuthi ngo-2040, inani lokusetshenziswa komhlaba wonke lama-oxides angavamile kazibuthe lizokhuphuka ngokuphindwe kahlanu, lisuka ku-$10.8 billion kulo nyaka liye ku-$56.7 billion ngo-2040.
Kulindeleke ukuthi ngo-2040, ukunikezwa konyaka kwe-neodymium iron boron kuzoba ngaphansi kwamathani angama-246000. Ngenxa yokwanda okuqinile kwezinto ezisetshenziswayo zikazibuthe ezingavamile emhlabeni, babikezela ukuthi ngo-2030, ukushoda komhlaba wonke kwe-neodymium iron boron alloys nezimpushana kuzofinyelela amathani ayi-60000 ngonyaka, futhi ngo-2040, kuzofinyelela amathani ayi-246000 ngonyaka, cishe okulinganayo. ekukhiqizweni okuphelele komhlaba wonke kwe-neodymium iron boron alloys nezimpushana ngonyaka odlule.
Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokuntuleka kwemithombo emisha yokuphakelwa okuyisisekelo neyesibili ngemuva kuka-2023, babikezela ukuthi ukushoda komhlaba wonke kwe-neodymium oxide (noma i-oxide equivalent) kuzokwenyuka kuye kumathani ayi-19000 ngonyaka ngo-2030 kanye namathani ayizi-90000 ngonyaka ngo-2040, okusho ukuthi. icishe ilingane nokukhiqizwa kwangonyaka odlule okuyisisekelo nesesibili.
Ngo-2040, ukushoda konyakai-dysprosium oxidefuthii-terbium oxidekulindeleke ukuthi kube amathani ayi-1800 kanye namathani angama-450, ngokulandelana. Ngokufanayo, ngenxa yokuntuleka kwemithombo emisha eyisisekelo neyesibili ngemuva kuka-2023, i-Adamas Intelligence ibikezela ukuthi ngo-2040, ukushoda komhlaba wonkei-dysprosium oxidefuthii-terbium oxidenoma okulingana ne-oxide kuzokhuphuka kube amathani angu-1800 kanye namathani angu-450 ngonyaka - cishe okulingana nokukhiqizwa komhlaba wonke kwe-oxide ngayinye ngonyaka odlule.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-26-2023